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Tranched investment is a terrible idea. Maybe.

Now that the go-go days of 2021 are over, tranched investments are re-emerging as a way to structure investment rounds. Are they worth considering?

9.12.2022

Investment
Startups
Venture-capital

Mads Jensen
Managing Partner​

"Nothing is more powerful than an idea whose time has come. Especially when it's championed by world-class founders!"

Mads Jensen

Managing Partner​

Mads is a successful entrepreneur and passionate technologist (having authored multiple US patents) who has worked for 2 decades building and growing tech businesses. At SuperSeed he helps ambitious technical founders build great companies from the early stages. Prior to SuperSeed, Mads was an entrepreneur, taking Sefaira (a SaaS company) from inception in 2009 to exit in 2016. Before that he was a business executive at IBM.

Tranched investment is a terrible idea. Maybe.
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TL;DR

Mads Jensen agrees with venture orthodoxy that splitting rounds into small tranches tied to minor milestones is usually a bad idea for founders, but argues it can be a pragmatic option when valuation and capital needs don't match.

Key Takeaways
  • All venture funding is tranched in a sense: pre-seed, seed, Series A and so on, with each major milestone lowering risk and raising valuation.
  • In VC usage, tranched investment usually means releasing a round in smaller tranches tied to smaller waypoints.
  • Orthodoxy, which the author generally shares, says this is bad because founders should not have to worry constantly about running out of cash.
  • A fully funded plan, with enough capital and some buffer to reach the next major milestone, is the ideal.
  • If a company needs $4m but is valued at $4m pre-money, raising half now and the rest at a higher valuation after smaller milestones may beat giving up half the company.

Tranched startup investment is a terrible idea.

Or is it?

First, some definitions.

Venture capital investments are, by definition, “tranched”. The tranches are called: Pre-Seed, Seed, Series A, Series B and so forth. Startups are risky little things. Most of them perish before they have a chance to flourish. But there is meaning to the madness. As companies hit milestones (team, product, customers, scale, profit), they become less risky. And as they become less risky, valuations go up.

It might take $100m+ of investment for a company to go from inception to IPO. But writing a $100m cheque to a pre-seed stage startup with a likely failure rate of +90% seems cavalier. And then there is the question of dilution.
So instead of investing $100m up front, investors start with a smaller cheque of – say, $500k. And each major milestone then unlocks a higher valuation and the next funding tranche. In other words: tranched investment.

But VC investors often talk about something slightly different when they talk about tranched investment. Rather than tranching investments to major milestones, the idea is to use smaller waypoints. Same idea. But smaller tranches. Now the Seed or the Series A round is no longer a “big cheque” to hit the next major goal. It’s a smaller cheque to hit one or more smaller goals on the way.

At face value, this might seems like a pragmatic approach.

Venture capital orthodoxy is that this is a bad idea. And generally, I agree.

Startups are hard. It often takes superhuman effort and focus to make it to the next major milestone. They are also unpredictable. And founders have lots of pitfalls they need to navigate on the way to that milestone. As a result, the last thing founders need is to constantly worry about whether they will run out of cash in 2 weeks. It’s not good for the founders. And it’s not good for the business.

BUT

What should founders do if there is a mismatch between valuation and desired capital? If they need $4m to hit the next major milestone, but markets currently value their business at $4m pre? Of course, you could give up half of the company. But there might be times when it’s better to do half and half. E.g. half at $4m and the remainder at a higher valuation once a few smaller milestones have been hit.

Most investors would agree that a “fully funded plan” is ideal. Enough capital to get to the next major milestone. With a bit of buffer. That’s the orthodoxy.

But sometimes “best” isn’t available. And in startup-land, orthodox ideals sometimes need to make way for pragmatic alternatives.

In those situations, tranched investment is worthy of consideration.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is tranched investment in venture capital?

In the sense VCs usually mean, it is splitting a round such as a seed or Series A into smaller tranches, each released when the company hits a smaller milestone, rather than funding the whole plan to the next major milestone up front.

Why is tranched investment usually considered a bad idea?

Startups are hard and unpredictable, and reaching a major milestone takes intense focus. Having founders constantly worry about running out of cash is bad for them and for the business.

When might a founder consider a tranched round?

When there is a mismatch between valuation and the capital needed, for example needing $4m at a $4m pre-money valuation. Raising part now and part later at a higher valuation may be better than giving up half the company.

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